ballot propositions

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On Being Propositioned

Byuclafaculty

There is a complicated inter-relationship between various propositions on the November ballot.  Prop 30 (the governor’s tax initiative) is paired against Prop 32 – a “paycheck protection” initiative that would largely cut unions out of political funding which often means funding Democrats.  Prop 32 is thus supported by Republicans and has gotten considerable campaign support from CharlesMunger. Prop 30 is also paired partly against Prop 38 – the MollyMunger school tax initiative.  So you have to keep track of your Mungers who are both aligned against 30 but not 32.  (Molly is the liberal who wants more money for schools…

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Preliminary Announcement: Nov. 7 Forum on Future Funding of UC

Byuclafaculty

On Wednesday, November 7, the Faculty Association at UCLA is sponsoring a noontime program on the Future Funding of UC. That’s the day after Election Day and, unless the results are very close, we will at least know the outcome of the various state propositions on the ballot dealing with taxes.  The program will be at the Faculty Center. Prof. Steve Lippman of Anderson will introduce the event.  Prof. Karen Orren of Poli Sci will be the emcee.  Speakers will be Prof. Chris Newfield of UC-SB (English), Prof. Robert Anderson of UC-Berkeley (Economics and past chair of the Academic Council),…

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Waiting for Brown’s First Prop 30 TV Ad

Byuclafaculty

Prop 30 is the governor’s initiative for temporary tax increases that has been endorsed by the Regents.  So far, a full-scale campaign, i.e., TV ads, has yet to occur.  But a note on the LA Times‘ PolitiCal blog says the TV campaign is supposed to start today. So we’re waiting. There have been opposition radio ads and some more general “issue” ads that oppose tax increases.  Brown has a lot more money in the bank for his campaign than do the opponents.  He appears to be following the later-is-better strategy used in the 2010 gubernatorial campaign.  In that campaign, his…

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Will Prop 30 Pass the Voters’ Test?

Byuclafaculty

As prior posts on this blog have noted, Proposition 30, the governor’s tax initiative endorsed by the Regents, is polling marginally ahead. But it does not have a comfortable lead and the campaign is really just starting.  So will it lose its marginal lead, thus causing trigger cuts to UC? Ethan Rarick, California Fellow at the Institute of Governmental Studies at UC-Berkeley, does some analysis of past initiatives and concludes that the answer is – TA TA! – maybe yes/ maybe no.  Non-tax initiatives at this point in the campaign with poll numbers in the range of Prop 30’s do…

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Rival Initiative Campaign

Byuclafaculty

As readers of this blog will know, although there are three tax propositions on the ballot, two are essentially rivals.  The governor put Prop 30 on the ballot, a combination of income and sales taxes, which has been endorsed by the Regents.  Prop 38, which is an income tax increase earmarked more directly for local schools, is supported by a wealthy backer, Molly Munger.  Prop 38 hasn’t polled well but Munger is putting money into its campaign. Prop 30 has been showing a marginal majority in recent polls.  The concern among Prop 30 supporters is that the campaign for 38…

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Note: Not everyone loves us

Byuclafaculty

The conservative/libertarian City Journal complains about a UC-San Diego diversity executive appointment in its latest issue (and about the Regents’ endorsement of Prop 30). Excerpts: The University of California, San Diego has done it again. Last year, it announced the creation of a new diversity sinecure: a vice chancellor for equity, diversity, and inclusion. Campus leaders established this post even as state budget cuts resulted in the loss of star scientists to competing universities, as humanities classes and degree programs were eliminated to save money, and as tuition continued its nearly 75 percent, five-year rise. The new vice chancellorship was wildly…

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Another Poll Shows Prop 30 Marginally Ahead

Byuclafaculty

Another poll – the Field Poll – has appeared which shows the governor’s tax initiative (Prop 30) marginally ahead and the rival Munger initiative failing (Prop 38).  Earlier today, we posted similar results from the PPIC poll. The poll also shows that Prop 39, which closes a corporate tax loophole, is ahead in a plurality sense but doesn’t have a majority. Ultimately, folks must vote yes or no on initiatives but not having a majority at this stage is not a good sign. The poll is at:http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2425.pdf A Sacramento Bee article on the poll results is at:http://blogs.sacbee.com/capitolalertlatest/2012/09/poll-support-for-prop-30-highest-among-wealthy-educated.html

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Sully

Byuclafaculty

I came across a headline on the Sacramento Bee website this morning:Educators sullying state law to support Proposition 30 It’s from a column by Dan Walters in which he complains that folks in higher ed – community colleges, CSU, and UC – are underhandedly letting it be known in various ways that if Prop 30 – the governor’s tax initiative – doesn’t pass, things won’t go well for their institutions.  Sample quote: “Just Tuesday, the University of California at Berkeley announced a Proposition 30 Awareness Project to test the use of Facebook, Twitter and other social media to distribute information…

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Some Handy Comparison Slides of Props 30 & 38

Byuclafaculty

The Legislative Analyst’s Office has some handy comparisons of the governor’s tax initiative (Prop 30) and the rival Munger tax initiative (Prop 38).  “PIT” = personal income tax.  Three slides are below: Prop 30 Prop 38 ($7,316 is not a typo.  Prop 38 starts at a relatively low income hurdle.  A more detailed description that you will be finding in the official ballot pamphlet is: “Increases personal income tax rates on annual earnings over $7,316 using sliding scale from .4% for lowest individual earners to 2.2% for individuals earning over $2.5 million, for twelve years.” Prop 30’s income tax hurdle is much…