Prop 30 Election Post Mortem
We know that Prop 30 – the governor’s tax initiative – passed with about 54% of the vote. But the polls always showed it in a marginal position and losing support towards the end. One possible explanation is that Prop 30 always had a plurality of “yes” votes and that undecided voters ended up voting yes in sufficient numbers to enact it. However, the political number crunchers are now raising questions about whether the pollsters’ estimates of “likely voters” were biased towards older folks who were less positive than younger voters about Prop 30. From Dan Walters, Sacramento Bee columnist:…