controller

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Timing is Everything

The state controller’s monthly cash report through December is out today and on the face of it there is less revenue than anticipated and more expenditure than anticipated for the first half of the year.  However, the controller in footnotes and in a supplementary statement attributes these results to timing rather than some fundamental departure from budgetary expectations.  Certain sales tax receipts that would normally have gotten into the general fund in December were not transferred there until January.  And certain local expenditures were paid out earlier than had been expected. In any event, these figures are too recent to…

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Johnny Dollar Reports

There used to be an old radio show, “Yours Truly, Johnny Dollar.”   The closest we now have in California is state controller John Chiang who provides monthly cash reports on the state’s budget. For the first quarter of the current fiscal year (2012-13), we are behind on revenue by about $200 million (which is really noise given the size of the budget).  We spent, however, over a billion dollars more than budgeted for the first quarter.  The extra spending seems to be occurring in the social welfare area.  It’s not K-12 or higher ed. Anyway, if the budget estimate…

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What’s Happening on the State Budget and Prop 30 to Date?

The state controller reports that tax revenue for July and August (first two months of the fiscal year) is about on target relative to the June budget estimates (although the amount collected on particular taxes from various targets deviates from the estimates, plus and minus).  Disbursements, however, are up relative to budget estimates by roughly $3 billion which shows up as more borrowing by the general fund from other state funds.  (Why that overage occurred is not explained.) However, the big uncertainty about the budget this year is whether the governor’s tax initiative passes in November.  So far, the media…

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You Might Not Want to Look…

…at the July cash statement of the state controller. Because if you do, you will find out that revenues in the first month of the fiscal year came in over $400 million below estimates in the recently-enacted state budget. And, of course, there could be trigger cuts in the budget (including at UC) although such cuts are more contingent on the passage by voters (or not) of the governor’s tax initiative, Prop 30. If you do want to look, nonetheless, the report is at:http://www.sco.ca.gov/Files-ARD/CASH/fy1213_jul.pdf Look if you dare:

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Post Mortem: What Happened Last Fiscal Year in State General Fund Cash Flows?

Readers of this blog and state budget aficionados will recall that in June 2011, the legislature assumed $4 billion in a kind of extra phantom revenue that was unallocated among the various taxes the state was projected to collect.  Essentially, the legislature and governor assumed that a windfall would arise somewhere, but no one could say precisely where.  Nonetheless, that assumption allowed passage of a budget by a simple majority vote that was ostensibly “balanced” by some definition.   Not surprisingly, now that the state controller has released the cash flows for full fiscal year 2011-12 (which ended June 30,…

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Waiting for a Budget Decision from the Governor

The legislature passed a budget – sort of – last night to meet the June 15 deadline.  That – they think – will get them paid, pursuant to the new constitutional arrangements enacted by voters in 2010.  It doesn’t mean that the governor won’t veto the budget (as he did last year).  News accounts suggest that negotiations are continuing between the legislative Dems and the governor.  Note that the governor has line-item veto powers which could be used to cut more out of the budget than what was enacted. On the pay issue: Last year after the governor vetoed the…

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Sacramento surprise!

Last year, the legislature, after some dramatic moments described in an earlier post, passed a budget with phantom revenue of an extra $4 billion. This added revenue, above and beyond what was forecast for any particular tax, was assumed to materialize somewhere – although no one could specify where. Today, the state controller has issued his cash statement for the first eleven months of this fiscal year and it appears that revenues so far are short by – you’ll never guess! – $4 billion compared to the budget passed last June. Must be a coincidence. In any case, you can…

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Disappointing State Revenues

The state controller’s cash report for the fiscal year through April is now out.  Despite the blip in tax receipts in April due to the seasonal impact of the  income tax, revenues are down by over $3 billion compared to what the governor had forecast in January.  Compared to what the budget enacted last June for 2011-12 had projected, we are down over $5 billion. How all of this will play out with regard to the governor’s tax initiative in November is unclear.  The kind of cash problems that led to IOUs in 2009 are unlikely to repeat.  Thanks to…

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Not Up to Forecast

Readers of this blog will know that tax aficionados track the April state income tax receipts since April is the big month for those receipts.  As it turned out, and despite some initial optimism in the early part of the month, income tax revenue came in a little under last year’s total and about $2 billion below what the governor had forecast. The daily tracker is athttp://www.sco.ca.gov/april_2012_personal_income_tax_tracker.html Maybe the best things in life are free but…[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_DJhEXmOmY&w=320&h=195]

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A billion here, a billion there…

Everett Dirksen, who was the GOP minority leader in the U.S. Senate in the 1960s, was famous for saying (about the federal budget), “A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you’re talking about real money.” Actually, no one has produced evidence that he really said it.  However, the quote’s relevance today is on the latest data from the state controller on the daily intake of income tax payments – which peak in April for obvious reasons. The daily tracker on the controller’s website which was noted in an earlier post on this blog reports that as of April…