Gov. Brown’s Prop 30 Tax Below 50% in Two Major Polls
Above are the results from the PPIC poll. Both Prop 30 (Brown’s tax) and Prop 38 (Molly Munger school tax) are below 50%. The Munger tax has been a loser all along but Prop 30 had been marginally ahead in prior polling. More detail from the PPIC poll are below:
The LA Times-USC poll shows similar results:
You can see that poll in detail at:
If Prop 30 fails, trigger cuts are built into the current state budget. UC would have a $250 million cut. Tuition would likely be raised. In theory, the legislature could repeal the trigger but the governor would not allow it. Even if a trigger repeal somehow passed the legislature, there are not enough votes to override a veto.
Brown’s action in 1978 at the time of Prop 13 – the major property cut initiative – is instructive. He initially opposed Prop 13, albeit rather belatedly. When it passed, he flipped and said he would make it work. Brown even got qualified support from Howard Jarvis – the co-sponsor of Prop 13 – in the general election of Nov. 1978.
Here is Brown before the legislature just after Prop 13 passed:
[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCueOgnluDg?feature=player_detailpage]
Update: Maplight provides a summary of who is contributing to what initiative campaign for those interested in state politics. Here is a way to follow Prop 30 and the other propositions on the ballot:
Update: An Arizona group with anonymous donors gave $11 million to the anti-Prop 30 campaign and the pro-Prop 32 (paycheck protection) campaign. (The latter prop seems to be losing in the polls.) A report indicates that the California Fair Political Practices Commission has filed a lawsuit to learn the donors’ identities. I doubt, even if the suit succeeded, that the donor’s IDs would be known before Election Day. See:
http://blogs.sacbee.com/capitolalertlatest/2012/10/state-watchdog-agency-sues-shadowy-arizona-campaign-donor.html